"I've been to see a lot of great communities
so far," he said. "It seems to be a message that resonates
with small-town America."
Schultz has visited 200 cities and has another 40 lined up over
the next three months. He anticipates stopping in on another couple
of hundred in the next six months to a year.
His research centered on what he terms agurban areas, towns that
were predominantly agricultural and are far removed from a major
city. He looked at population and per capita income growth and also
surveyed communities for their demographics, such as housing affordability
and poverty level. He cited Hinesville as one of the 20 growing agurbans
in Georgia. Georgia has more of Schultz's top 397 agurbans than any
other state and Hinesville is among that number.
"After taking a tour, I see I made a good decision," he
said. "Maybe I should have put them in the top 100."
Schultz compared the top 100 agurban markets to the metropolitan
areas ranked 10-26 in population, according to the 2000 Census. That
group included Boston, Seattle and San Jose, areas known for their
high technology industry. Those 17 large cities had a combined population
of 15.6 million and the top 100 agurbs had a population of 16.3 million,
according to Schultz.
The top 100 agurbs grew nearly three times as fast in the number
of high tech jobs in 1990s, Schultz said, and also have added 225,000
jobs since 2000.
One out of every nine jobs has been added in those top 100 agurbans,
according to Schultz. Their combined population is equivalent to
that of Maryland's, and had Maryland experienced similar growth,
Schultz believes it would have been a big story.
"But because these communities are scattered across the country,
they get lost," he said.
Schultz researched 15,800 towns, all outside metropolitan statistical
areas. He narrowed that group down to the top 1,200, then down to
800, down to 397 and to the final 100 he considered to be doing very
well.
He pointed to air travel, the internet, deregulation and the quality
of life and cost of living as reasons agurbs are booming. His statistics
show nearly 30 million people telecommute.
"Today, you'll live where you want to live and work will find
you," he said.
When Schultz started his research three years ago, he thought agurbs
needed to be close to an interstate and have a four-year college.
But only 16 of his top 100 had four-year colleges and 25 were within
25 miles of an interstate.
"I found that didn't have an impact," he
said. "It's all in the leadership."
His seven and a half keys are: adopt a can-do attitude; shape your
vision; leverage your resources; raise up strong leaders; encourage
an entrepreneurial approach; maintain local control; build your brand;
and embrace the teeter-totter factor.
"It only takes one or two or a handful of leaders to make a
difference," he said. "The question is, are you going to
let visionary leaders take you in a direction and take some risk?"
Schultz said keeping local control is the Achilles heel and growing
communities need to be on guard against what he called CAVE people,
citizens against virtually everything.
Schultz used Peru, IN, as an example of how a smaller city can outgrown
a larger neighbor and how Tupelo, MS, and Branson, MO, transformed
themselves into prosperous cities.
He also said property taxes are a major cost item and his research
showed property tax rates in Hinesville are, in some cases, 40 to
50 percent lower than in other agurban markets.
Schultz also pointed to the cost of living in major cities. The
quality of life on $100,000 a year in New York City or the Silicon
Valley is akin to the quality of life on $45,000 in an agurban market.
He also discussed his own initiative in his hometown of Effingham,
IL. He and some others wanted to bring a new rail line into Effingham.
The railroad had not brought new industry into Effingham in 30 years
and the head of the Illinois Central shot him down.
But he built his own rail line anyway, the only new railroad built
in Illinois in the 20th century, albeit 1.43 miles long, to service
Enterprise Rail Park.
"It's the shortest rail line in Illinois," Schultz
said.
By Patrick Donahue
Coastal Courier (Hinesville, GA) Executive Editor
pdonahue@coastalcourier.com
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